Saturday, March 1, 2014
S-Curve Analysis
For 4.2., your observation about the emergence of a new technological
environment is "on target." It goes this way. When the computer
emerged, many resisted use of email to rely on the traditional pen and
paper communication. Well, we know what has happened over twenty
years. In time, folks have migrated overwhelmingly to email. There is a
famous "S-Curve" in technology planning. It goes this way. At the
bottom of the S are the "early adopters." As the technology gains
traction it shoots up and by the time it peaks at the top of the S-Curve
it is no longer innovative. It is standard. Halfway up the S-Curve,
in the middle "bend" is when the technology crosses over from innovation
to standardization. You may want to apply this S-Curve concept as a
way to make sense of your findings. Your teachers are at the bottom,
willing to be early adopters. You get the idea. FYI, I used to teach
Strategic Planning of Technology to MBA students for DeVry University in
Milwaukee, WI.
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